← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · SWBI (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC. (SWBI)
SIC 3480 — Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles) · CIK 1092796 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on SWBI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-06-20 | 2025-06-20 | -0.46% | -0.80% | -8.28% | +9.15% | — |
| FY2024 | 2024-06-20 | 2024-06-20 | -12.87% | -9.88% | -5.78% | -18.52% | -45.16% |
| FY2023 | 2023-06-22 | 2023-06-22 | +20.20% | +17.44% | +14.83% | +4.41% | +34.97% |
| FY2019 | 2019-06-19 | 2019-06-19 | +3.28% | -10.18% | +3.94% | -26.59% | +104.81% |
| FY2018 | 2018-06-20 | 2018-06-20 | -3.25% | -3.63% | -19.20% | +15.95% | -31.90% |
| FY2017 | 2017-06-29 | 2017-06-29 | -7.44% | -10.23% | -14.58% | -36.01% | -49.75% |
| FY2016 | 2016-06-16 | 2016-06-16 | +8.74% | +16.46% | +30.34% | +23.77% | +10.67% |
| FY2015 | 2015-06-22 | 2015-06-22 | +0.00% | -1.73% | -2.50% | +11.69% | +47.64% |
| FY2014 | 2014-06-19 | 2014-06-19 | -8.71% | -14.00% | -20.00% | -39.59% | -4.82% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.