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positive_eps_streak on Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 1539638 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TFIN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-11 | 2026-02-11 | -8.50% | -10.44% | -19.64% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-11 | 2025-02-11 | -3.57% | -6.03% | -21.86% | -25.98% | -17.22% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-13 | 2024-02-13 | +1.03% | -0.65% | -2.88% | -2.62% | -5.46% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-15 | 2023-02-15 | +0.09% | -3.82% | -8.02% | -24.53% | +20.36% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-14 | 2022-02-14 | +7.51% | +1.14% | +3.04% | -25.63% | -29.88% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-12 | 2021-02-12 | +1.40% | +11.86% | +19.51% | +26.93% | +35.26% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-11 | 2020-02-11 | +0.12% | -0.38% | -45.63% | -41.25% | +61.83% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-12 | 2019-02-12 | +1.88% | +9.21% | +0.65% | -2.27% | +35.71% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-13 | 2018-02-13 | -0.52% | +7.63% | +10.35% | +3.10% | -17.39% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-17 | 2017-02-17 | +0.55% | -1.10% | -5.31% | -21.25% | +51.65% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | -1.01% | +5.50% | +12.67% | +15.28% | +95.51% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.