← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · TGT (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on TARGET CORP (TGT)
SIC 5331 — Retail-Variety Stores · CIK 27419 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TGT
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-11 | 2026-03-11 | -2.55% | -3.14% | +4.42% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-12 | 2025-03-12 | -2.59% | -2.18% | -8.94% | -8.25% | +14.39% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-13 | 2024-03-13 | -1.42% | +2.27% | +2.80% | -11.80% | -34.65% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-08 | 2023-03-08 | -1.76% | -2.68% | +1.06% | -17.97% | +7.28% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-09 | 2022-03-09 | -0.56% | -0.19% | -0.03% | -25.14% | -25.07% |
| FY2011 | 2012-03-15 | 2012-03-15 | -0.58% | -1.40% | -2.25% | +0.46% | +15.72% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.