← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · TKR (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on TIMKEN CO (TKR)
SIC 3562 — Ball & Roller Bearings · CIK 98362 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TKR
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-13 | 2026-02-13 | -2.13% | -0.01% | -8.14% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | -3.03% | -4.97% | -10.48% | -11.26% | +31.03% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-26 | 2024-02-26 | +2.26% | +4.39% | +5.89% | +12.81% | -1.31% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-16 | 2023-02-16 | +0.51% | -0.42% | -14.32% | -13.36% | -6.00% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-15 | 2022-02-15 | +1.06% | -5.33% | -8.55% | -15.35% | +28.34% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-16 | 2021-02-16 | -2.07% | +1.82% | +11.13% | +15.55% | -10.66% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-14 | 2020-02-14 | -0.98% | -8.16% | -43.31% | -31.77% | +41.67% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-15 | 2019-02-15 | +0.19% | +1.39% | +1.95% | +11.62% | +26.56% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-15 | 2018-02-15 | -0.18% | +3.37% | +1.38% | +6.26% | -1.76% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-21 | 2017-02-21 | -1.34% | -1.23% | -3.58% | +5.83% | +5.61% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-24 | 2016-02-24 | -1.03% | +2.49% | +8.38% | +8.52% | +47.20% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | -1.22% | -2.02% | -3.31% | -6.20% | -26.74% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-28 | 2014-02-28 | -1.16% | +0.88% | -2.93% | +6.89% | +2.85% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-13 | 2013-02-13 | +0.68% | -4.08% | +3.89% | +1.87% | +5.16% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.