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positive_eps_streak on Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB)
SIC 2100 — Tobacco Products · CIK 1290677 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TPB
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-02 | -0.87% | -14.40% | -20.47% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-06 | 2025-03-06 | -0.45% | -7.50% | -5.56% | +22.74% | +51.44% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | +2.47% | +9.36% | +18.71% | +32.76% | +187.07% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-15 | 2023-03-15 | -0.12% | +0.51% | +7.92% | +9.62% | +35.81% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-11 | 2022-03-11 | +3.18% | +13.33% | +5.36% | -0.82% | -29.91% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | -3.36% | -4.43% | +1.41% | -12.40% | -32.45% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-12 | 2020-03-12 | +10.88% | +1.57% | +28.81% | +50.59% | +211.12% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-07 | 2019-03-07 | +0.99% | +11.40% | -0.46% | +12.52% | -44.74% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-08 | 2018-03-08 | +1.17% | +0.61% | -6.02% | +31.72% | +121.08% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.