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positive_eps_streak on TUTOR PERINI CORP (TPC)
SIC 1540 — General Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs · CIK 77543 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TPC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | +7.42% | +6.11% | -1.88% | -13.18% | -31.11% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | +10.53% | +5.03% | -3.43% | -8.92% | -13.87% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-23 | 2017-02-23 | +9.29% | +13.11% | +6.56% | -3.83% | -17.85% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +9.96% | +16.92% | +14.07% | +60.10% | +127.92% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.