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positive_eps_streak on Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (TPH)
SIC 1531 — Operative Builders · CIK 1561680 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TPH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-26 | 2026-02-26 | +0.00% | +0.13% | +0.80% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-21 | 2025-02-21 | +2.14% | +2.83% | +2.01% | +2.47% | +50.60% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-22 | 2024-02-22 | +0.85% | +0.26% | +3.71% | +13.29% | -7.71% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-21 | 2023-02-21 | +0.43% | +3.16% | +6.79% | +28.04% | +52.70% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-18 | 2022-02-18 | -2.69% | +3.66% | +3.57% | -1.62% | +7.55% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-19 | 2021-02-19 | -3.28% | +0.64% | +4.77% | +29.56% | +16.05% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-19 | 2020-02-19 | +1.94% | -8.76% | -65.96% | -39.30% | +3.60% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-26 | 2019-02-26 | -0.38% | -4.67% | -1.84% | +0.69% | +26.13% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-20 | 2018-02-20 | -0.34% | -8.32% | -5.97% | -6.14% | -24.11% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-02-24 | -0.90% | +0.49% | +3.11% | +4.01% | +35.79% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.