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positive_eps_streak on TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN)
SIC 3743 — Railroad Equipment · CIK 99780 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TRN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-19 | +2.40% | +0.20% | -12.94% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | -3.64% | -1.18% | -5.52% | -13.30% | +15.37% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-22 | 2024-02-22 | -3.30% | -0.20% | +5.11% | +23.31% | +25.40% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-20 | 2020-02-20 | -1.93% | -12.15% | -26.74% | -21.06% | +44.10% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-21 | 2019-02-21 | -2.64% | -6.43% | -8.23% | -15.73% | -5.41% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-22 | 2018-02-22 | -2.01% | -4.44% | -6.54% | +7.09% | -1.36% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-17 | 2017-02-17 | -4.89% | -4.02% | -6.97% | -6.31% | +22.49% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-19 | 2016-02-19 | -0.37% | -3.53% | +16.92% | +4.25% | +79.01% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-19 | 2015-02-19 | +1.83% | +4.34% | +5.33% | -4.47% | -48.25% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-20 | 2014-02-20 | +1.75% | +5.46% | +10.66% | +21.46% | -0.66% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-21 | 2013-02-21 | +4.12% | +4.70% | +7.26% | +1.66% | +66.89% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.