← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · TSCO (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/ (TSCO)
SIC 5200 — Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply · CIK 916365 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TSCO
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-19 | 2026-02-19 | +1.92% | -1.06% | -10.73% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-20 | 2025-02-20 | -2.37% | -4.85% | -9.85% | -7.85% | -5.09% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-23 | -0.15% | +3.85% | +8.19% | +16.86% | +15.25% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-23 | 2023-02-23 | -0.62% | -1.50% | -2.31% | -3.34% | +6.69% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-17 | 2022-02-17 | +0.33% | -6.00% | +9.39% | -3.69% | +11.18% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-18 | 2021-02-18 | -0.02% | -5.95% | -1.21% | +9.63% | +26.47% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-20 | 2020-02-20 | +1.15% | -8.33% | -22.56% | +13.25% | +75.77% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-21 | 2019-02-21 | -0.68% | -1.40% | -2.43% | +4.12% | +4.65% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-22 | 2018-02-22 | +0.52% | -2.53% | -8.39% | +11.14% | +46.78% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-23 | 2017-02-23 | +0.24% | +2.24% | -2.39% | -18.53% | -5.54% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-23 | 2016-02-23 | +0.85% | +3.25% | +4.94% | +8.16% | -14.03% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-18 | 2015-02-18 | +1.00% | +6.21% | +4.11% | +3.71% | +0.67% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-19 | 2014-02-19 | +0.43% | +7.59% | +12.32% | -3.32% | +31.86% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-20 | 2013-02-20 | -0.46% | +1.87% | +0.97% | +11.67% | +30.84% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-29 | 2012-02-29 | +2.38% | +2.38% | +6.82% | +16.42% | +22.34% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.