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positive_eps_streak on Trinseo PLC (TSEOF)
SIC 2821 — Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers · CIK 1519061 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on TSEOF
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 2022-02-23 | 2022-02-23 | -1.80% | -6.01% | -7.88% | -12.38% | -51.35% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-22 | 2021-02-22 | -0.22% | +7.41% | +4.18% | +2.99% | -12.27% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +2.93% | -7.86% | -12.84% | +0.19% | +234.57% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-28 | 2019-02-28 | +1.97% | -5.76% | -8.43% | -21.44% | -54.59% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-01 | 2018-03-01 | -0.06% | +1.32% | -6.68% | -4.75% | -34.25% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.