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positive_eps_streak on Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE)

SIC 4911 — Electric Services · CIK 1376986 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on TVE

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252025-11-132025-11-13-0.21%-0.49%-0.45%+1.44%
FY20242024-11-142024-11-14+0.18%+0.40%+0.58%+1.34%+11.36%
FY20232023-11-142023-11-14-0.28%+0.61%+3.11%+4.23%+7.80%
FY20222022-11-152022-11-15-0.28%-1.56%+1.14%+1.40%+3.25%
FY20212021-11-152021-11-15-0.27%-1.00%-2.87%-2.64%-17.14%
FY20202020-11-172020-11-17-0.61%+0.15%+1.33%-2.94%+1.54%
FY20192019-11-152019-11-15-0.16%-0.04%+0.82%+3.11%+5.50%
FY20182018-11-152018-11-15+0.21%-0.74%+0.12%+6.83%+8.39%
FY20172017-11-152017-11-15-0.24%-0.20%+0.20%+0.52%+0.19%
FY20162016-11-152016-11-15+0.00%-0.80%-1.84%+0.20%+1.90%
FY20152015-11-202015-11-20+0.48%+1.16%+0.52%+1.85%+1.86%
FY20142014-11-172014-11-17+0.20%-0.12%-0.04%+2.57%+6.82%
FY20132013-11-182013-11-18-0.04%-1.83%-2.41%+3.71%+14.04%
FY20122012-11-162012-11-16-0.23%+1.91%+1.11%+2.76%-10.93%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1376986/financials