← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · UAN (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on CVR PARTNERS, LP (UAN)
SIC 2870 — Agricultural Chemicals · CIK 1425292 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on UAN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-18 | -0.46% | -7.17% | +23.17% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-19 | 2025-02-19 | +0.62% | -2.97% | -2.74% | +6.49% | +43.47% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-21 | 2024-02-21 | -0.65% | -4.48% | +14.26% | +24.40% | +24.28% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-18 | 2016-02-18 | +0.46% | +12.60% | +13.57% | +34.35% | -1.90% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-20 | 2015-02-20 | +4.42% | +4.62% | -2.62% | +10.52% | -41.42% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-26 | 2014-02-26 | +0.45% | +3.12% | +6.80% | +0.16% | -23.82% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | -0.49% | -1.01% | -6.75% | -5.94% | -17.89% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.