← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · UBCP (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on UNITED BANCORP INC /OH/ (UBCP)
SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 731653 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on UBCP
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-18 | 2026-03-18 | +3.13% | +12.11% | +8.16% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-14 | 2025-03-14 | -2.66% | -0.61% | -3.41% | +2.67% | +22.17% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-20 | 2024-03-20 | +4.88% | +15.97% | +0.85% | -6.01% | +15.60% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-17 | 2023-03-17 | +6.24% | +7.62% | -3.41% | -16.41% | -6.59% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-18 | 2022-03-18 | +1.70% | +7.74% | +18.70% | -8.88% | -4.86% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-20 | 2020-03-20 | +8.52% | +15.59% | -0.83% | +8.72% | +55.49% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-20 | 2019-03-20 | -0.09% | +0.09% | +0.09% | +6.64% | -10.97% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-20 | 2018-03-20 | -3.10% | -1.47% | -2.71% | +3.32% | -11.26% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-20 | 2017-03-20 | -2.00% | -0.40% | -7.20% | -8.03% | +7.79% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-16 | 2016-03-16 | +1.52% | +2.72% | +0.54% | +7.06% | +33.09% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-16 | 2015-03-16 | +0.13% | -0.38% | -2.01% | +5.15% | +21.09% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-19 | 2014-03-19 | +1.72% | +2.33% | +1.10% | +0.04% | +1.63% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.