← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · UBFO (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on UNITED SECURITY BANCSHARES (UBFO)
SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 1137547 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on UBFO
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-26 | 2026-03-26 | -1.07% | — | — | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-20 | 2025-03-20 | -1.00% | +1.11% | -10.94% | -7.57% | +20.15% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-26 | 2024-03-26 | +2.45% | -2.86% | +3.56% | -0.04% | +30.85% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-29 | 2023-03-29 | +0.95% | -1.42% | -2.23% | +3.55% | +26.92% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-09 | 2022-03-09 | +1.23% | +1.47% | +1.83% | -4.65% | -10.57% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-05 | 2021-03-05 | +1.07% | +4.41% | -2.27% | +2.69% | +4.31% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-28 | 2020-02-28 | +1.73% | -1.39% | -26.10% | -28.73% | -5.89% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -0.91% | -3.28% | -3.28% | -4.87% | -16.27% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-02 | 2018-03-02 | +0.49% | +1.94% | +4.37% | +7.18% | +9.37% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-03 | 2017-03-03 | +0.64% | -1.28% | -6.41% | +19.85% | +37.42% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-04 | 2016-03-04 | +1.44% | +1.44% | +2.87% | +11.99% | +67.74% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-17 | 2015-03-17 | +0.00% | -0.56% | -4.61% | -5.55% | -4.42% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.