← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · UG (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on UNITED GUARDIAN INC (UG)
SIC 2844 — Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations · CIK 101295 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on UG
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-03-27 | +1.22% | +1.07% | — | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-21 | 2025-03-21 | -5.62% | -4.79% | -11.13% | -14.98% | -31.10% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-22 | 2024-03-22 | -5.10% | -2.36% | +1.12% | +13.93% | +18.36% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-23 | 2023-03-23 | -0.95% | -1.37% | +3.37% | -12.22% | -16.29% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-23 | 2022-03-23 | -2.98% | +11.63% | +20.87% | -18.26% | -51.00% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-22 | 2021-03-22 | -1.23% | -4.78% | -1.87% | -0.34% | +33.81% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-26 | 2020-03-26 | -1.62% | -4.78% | +8.09% | +15.29% | +12.28% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-21 | 2019-03-21 | -0.84% | +0.84% | +0.26% | +1.81% | -31.92% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-22 | 2018-03-22 | -5.01% | -6.17% | -6.86% | +5.55% | +6.29% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-23 | 2017-03-23 | -1.33% | -0.67% | -6.67% | +6.52% | +29.16% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-24 | 2016-03-24 | -3.98% | -6.73% | -17.94% | -23.49% | -30.09% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-26 | 2015-03-26 | +2.37% | +0.97% | +3.50% | +9.03% | +20.22% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-24 | 2014-03-24 | -0.03% | +1.70% | +3.13% | -3.59% | -33.51% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.