← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · ULTA (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA)
SIC 5990 — Retail-Retail Stores, NEC · CIK 1403568 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on ULTA
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-26 | 2026-03-26 | -2.17% | +3.02% | +7.08% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-27 | 2025-03-27 | -2.94% | -0.70% | +3.60% | +25.42% | +37.74% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-26 | 2024-03-26 | -0.16% | -14.46% | -20.18% | -25.37% | -30.11% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-24 | 2023-03-24 | +1.26% | +6.17% | +6.50% | -12.41% | +0.07% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-25 | 2022-03-25 | +0.10% | -1.73% | +5.84% | +0.29% | +34.61% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-26 | 2021-03-26 | +1.05% | +5.53% | +8.35% | +10.78% | +30.39% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-27 | 2020-03-27 | +3.02% | -10.15% | +19.28% | +18.49% | +75.51% |
| FY2018 | 2019-04-02 | 2019-04-02 | +0.93% | +0.26% | -3.56% | -0.89% | -53.50% |
| FY2017 | 2018-04-03 | 2018-04-03 | +0.95% | +8.16% | +22.62% | +15.50% | +71.51% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-28 | 2017-03-28 | +0.20% | -0.46% | -1.12% | +0.45% | -27.49% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-30 | 2016-03-30 | -0.19% | +0.29% | +9.48% | +24.71% | +46.02% |
| FY2014 | 2015-04-01 | 2015-04-01 | +0.23% | +0.54% | +0.07% | +4.64% | +28.61% |
| FY2013 | 2014-04-02 | 2014-04-02 | -0.34% | -3.03% | -14.12% | -8.01% | +51.16% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.