← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · UNP (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on UNION PACIFIC CORP (UNP)
SIC 4011 — Railroads, Line-Haul Operating · CIK 100885 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on UNP
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-06 | +0.68% | +3.19% | +0.92% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-07 | 2025-02-07 | +0.93% | +2.95% | +3.13% | -11.45% | +10.52% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-09 | 2024-02-09 | -0.82% | -1.15% | +0.69% | -2.33% | +1.83% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-10 | 2023-02-10 | +0.27% | -1.90% | -4.42% | -1.73% | +22.53% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-04 | 2022-02-04 | -0.51% | -1.48% | +8.40% | -3.78% | -11.79% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-05 | 2021-02-05 | -0.04% | +4.39% | +3.75% | +11.02% | +20.98% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-07 | 2020-02-07 | +0.46% | +0.09% | -25.67% | -14.43% | +13.41% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-08 | 2019-02-08 | +1.63% | +5.27% | +2.93% | +8.62% | +16.73% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-09 | 2018-02-09 | +1.07% | +5.49% | +7.94% | +8.28% | +34.02% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-03 | 2017-02-03 | -0.76% | -0.59% | +1.42% | +2.96% | +17.02% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-05 | 2016-02-05 | +1.33% | +2.89% | +9.31% | +16.45% | +47.21% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-06 | 2015-02-06 | -1.94% | +0.65% | -3.38% | -12.64% | -36.14% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-07 | 2014-02-07 | -1.20% | +1.83% | +5.81% | +6.42% | +37.55% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-08 | 2013-02-08 | +0.20% | +2.76% | +5.46% | +16.05% | +33.86% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-03 | 2012-02-03 | -0.91% | -3.86% | -5.14% | -0.59% | +17.22% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-04 | 2011-02-04 | +0.38% | +5.06% | +0.74% | +10.63% | +24.58% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.