← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · UPBD (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on UPBOUND GROUP, INC. (UPBD)
SIC 7359 — Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC · CIK 933036 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on UPBD
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 2023-02-24 | 2023-02-24 | +1.05% | +2.91% | -12.47% | +19.08% | +31.77% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | -4.68% | -5.39% | -9.50% | -14.87% | +1.32% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-01 | 2021-03-01 | -1.19% | -1.09% | -5.09% | -2.02% | -51.20% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-02 | -4.87% | -18.06% | -33.94% | +19.15% | +179.03% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | +0.29% | -0.40% | +2.28% | +16.69% | -49.82% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +0.44% | +2.16% | +6.57% | +13.32% | +12.81% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-26 | 2013-02-26 | -0.06% | +4.13% | +2.44% | -1.48% | -30.23% |
| FY2011 | 2012-04-20 | 2012-04-20 | -0.27% | -4.22% | -10.75% | -9.08% | -5.78% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.