← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · URBN (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on URBAN OUTFITTERS INC (URBN)
SIC 5651 — Retail-Family Clothing Stores · CIK 912615 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on URBN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-04-01 | 2025-04-01 | +4.43% | -18.52% | -0.55% | +30.77% | +21.67% |
| FY2023 | 2024-04-01 | 2024-04-01 | -4.12% | -11.52% | -10.63% | -3.48% | +23.48% |
| FY2022 | 2023-04-03 | 2023-04-03 | -0.47% | +0.65% | +0.11% | +19.08% | +47.46% |
| FY2021 | 2022-04-01 | 2022-04-01 | +1.54% | +2.10% | -0.61% | -20.84% | +10.85% |
| FY2020 | 2021-04-01 | 2021-04-01 | +0.55% | +7.87% | -1.16% | +9.61% | -30.86% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-31 | 2020-03-31 | -7.51% | +17.13% | +32.44% | +11.03% | +161.17% |
| FY2018 | 2019-04-01 | 2019-04-01 | +0.39% | +9.99% | -2.65% | -24.98% | -53.37% |
| FY2017 | 2018-04-02 | 2018-04-02 | +0.03% | +2.63% | +9.10% | +25.36% | -16.93% |
| FY2016 | 2017-04-03 | 2017-04-03 | -3.06% | -3.49% | +0.34% | -21.59% | +59.74% |
| FY2015 | 2016-03-31 | 2016-03-31 | +3.63% | -7.46% | -6.01% | -21.85% | -26.08% |
| FY2014 | 2015-04-01 | 2015-04-01 | -1.74% | -2.75% | -10.53% | -20.29% | -23.37% |
| FY2013 | 2014-04-01 | 2014-04-01 | +3.98% | +1.72% | -2.70% | -7.69% | +22.10% |
| FY2012 | 2013-04-01 | 2013-04-01 | +3.80% | +5.91% | +7.65% | +1.64% | -5.05% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.