← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · UVE (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. (UVE)
SIC 6331 — Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance · CIK 891166 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on UVE
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +3.36% | +0.48% | -3.83% | — | — |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | +1.21% | +8.56% | +17.35% | +10.45% | +73.64% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-26 | 2021-02-26 | -0.94% | +4.77% | +1.81% | -4.71% | -14.27% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-02 | -4.37% | +3.44% | -16.01% | -11.28% | -28.46% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | -4.60% | -3.96% | -5.00% | -12.66% | -32.75% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | +2.16% | -2.21% | +5.13% | +18.98% | +33.84% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-24 | 2017-02-24 | -0.92% | -2.39% | -12.52% | -9.02% | +15.95% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-24 | 2016-02-24 | +2.87% | +5.79% | -3.45% | +0.80% | +48.24% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-25 | 2015-02-25 | +12.41% | +11.61% | +14.45% | +14.81% | -11.24% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | -2.15% | +1.88% | -11.74% | -16.12% | +83.67% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-08 | 2013-03-08 | +1.09% | -0.24% | +19.75% | +55.07% | +242.70% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.