← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · VHI (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on VALHI INC /DE/ (VHI)
SIC 2810 — Industrial Inorganic Chemicals · CIK 59255 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on VHI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 2023-03-09 | 2023-03-09 | -8.34% | -19.12% | -23.96% | -39.71% | -26.88% |
| FY2021 | 2022-03-10 | 2022-03-10 | +6.16% | +19.20% | +10.33% | +102.47% | -25.13% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-11 | 2021-03-11 | +1.74% | +12.93% | +15.91% | +44.18% | +30.71% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-12 | 2020-03-12 | +2.35% | +21.18% | +27.06% | +21.27% | +98.74% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-15 | 2013-03-15 | +0.19% | +0.00% | -2.42% | +1.38% | -27.96% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.