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positive_eps_streak on WESTERN ALLIANCE BANCORPORATION (WAL)

SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 1212545 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on WAL

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-232026-02-23+0.67%-7.05%-21.09%
FY20242025-02-252025-02-25+0.97%-4.94%-5.65%-15.44%+7.52%
FY20232024-02-282024-02-28+0.93%+5.38%+12.27%+9.90%+49.87%
FY20222023-02-232023-02-23+0.45%+0.73%-57.48%-52.68%-18.63%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25-0.59%-10.05%-8.08%-18.28%-19.77%
FY20202021-02-252021-02-25-2.84%-0.97%+0.55%+5.03%-3.02%
FY20192020-03-022020-03-02-5.69%-31.04%-35.61%-13.63%+100.81%
FY20182019-03-012019-03-01-0.13%-5.09%-11.46%-6.15%+4.02%
FY20172018-02-262018-02-26-1.56%+1.03%-3.79%+3.01%-23.04%
FY20162017-02-282017-02-28+3.29%-0.33%-6.93%-11.60%+13.21%
FY20152016-02-162016-02-16+0.37%-0.88%+5.26%+15.94%+78.60%
FY20142015-02-172015-02-17-2.04%-0.59%+4.28%+9.83%+2.76%
FY20132014-02-212014-02-21+2.20%+6.14%+12.60%+2.84%+30.20%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1212545/financials