← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · WCN (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN)
SIC 4953 — Refuse Systems · CIK 1318220 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on WCN
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-12 | 2026-02-12 | +1.70% | +3.83% | +5.90% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-13 | 2025-02-13 | +0.10% | -0.78% | -1.72% | -0.88% | -14.17% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-14 | 2024-02-14 | +0.81% | +3.88% | +3.29% | +2.33% | +15.11% |
| FY2022 | 2023-02-16 | 2023-02-16 | -0.18% | -1.64% | -1.28% | +5.70% | +23.56% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-17 | 2022-02-17 | +0.45% | +2.95% | +14.86% | +5.51% | +13.09% |
| FY2020 | 2021-02-18 | 2021-02-18 | +0.19% | -0.60% | +4.36% | +22.19% | +20.84% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-13 | 2020-02-13 | +0.98% | +0.52% | -13.53% | -8.60% | -2.59% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-14 | 2019-02-14 | +2.25% | +2.99% | +4.50% | +14.25% | +29.12% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.