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positive_eps_streak on WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN (WFC)

SIC 6021 — National Commercial Banks · CIK 72971 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on WFC

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-242026-02-24+2.59%-2.41%-5.86%
FY20242025-02-252025-02-25+0.59%-3.55%-2.32%-3.17%+16.02%
FY20232024-02-202024-02-20+1.72%+5.87%+10.12%+21.11%+53.34%
FY20222023-02-212023-02-21-0.50%+1.15%-16.78%-11.82%+19.11%
FY20212022-02-222022-02-22-2.41%-9.03%-3.42%-23.41%-14.21%
FY20202021-02-232021-02-23+3.10%+0.00%+2.96%+24.58%+51.07%
FY20192020-02-272020-02-27-3.81%-8.41%-27.24%-41.93%-12.07%
FY20182019-02-272019-02-27-0.02%-0.16%-2.26%-7.81%-11.33%
FY20172018-03-012018-03-01+0.17%-1.03%-8.55%-3.48%-9.73%
FY20162017-03-012017-03-01-1.71%-2.54%-6.80%-11.02%-1.41%
FY20152016-02-242016-02-24+0.29%+4.12%+4.52%+2.40%+26.68%
FY20142015-02-252015-02-25-0.33%-0.92%-1.43%+1.91%-11.27%
FY20132014-02-262014-02-26+0.00%+2.26%+5.32%+9.34%+23.07%
FY20122013-02-272013-02-27-0.14%+2.62%+5.27%+14.79%+34.87%
FY20112012-02-282012-02-28-0.26%-4.02%+8.70%+2.14%+16.19%
FY20102011-02-252011-02-25-0.43%-1.51%-1.20%-14.49%-2.32%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/72971/financials