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positive_eps_streak on WINTRUST FINANCIAL CORP (WTFC)

SIC 6022 — State Commercial Banks · CIK 1015328 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on WTFC

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-262026-02-26-5.34%-5.96%-11.10%
FY20242025-02-282025-02-28-2.12%-9.33%-9.92%-2.22%+18.55%
FY20232024-02-282024-02-28-0.16%+2.76%+8.47%+0.76%+28.34%
FY20222023-02-282023-02-28+0.04%-4.49%-21.91%-28.69%+6.81%
FY20212022-02-252022-02-25+0.53%-6.45%-2.13%-15.13%-5.30%
FY20202021-02-262021-02-26+3.77%+7.83%+7.22%+7.37%+36.20%
FY20192020-02-282020-02-28+4.46%-9.75%-36.10%-19.99%+46.58%
FY20182019-02-282019-02-28-0.34%-4.00%-7.57%-3.13%-26.40%
FY20172018-02-282018-02-28+0.01%+6.78%-0.15%+11.77%-12.24%
FY20162017-02-282017-02-28+2.90%-0.58%-7.42%-3.74%+15.58%
FY20152016-02-292016-02-29+4.21%+7.41%+3.06%+23.57%+74.94%
FY20142015-02-272015-02-27+0.66%-0.09%-0.51%+6.33%-8.90%
FY20132014-02-282014-02-28-0.67%+3.07%+3.35%-4.54%+3.35%
FY20122013-02-282013-02-28+0.05%+0.63%+1.48%+3.59%+27.37%
FY20112012-02-292012-02-29+1.19%-1.01%+6.62%+1.90%+8.45%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1015328/financials