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positive_eps_streak on Western Union CO (WU)

SIC 7389 — Services-Business Services, NEC · CIK 1365135 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.

Every time the signal fired on WU

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-02-202026-02-20-0.65%+3.88%-0.23%
FY20242025-02-202025-02-20-0.74%+0.28%+2.25%-5.37%-4.93%
FY20232024-02-222024-02-22+0.08%+3.55%+8.68%+3.26%-8.85%
FY20222023-02-232023-02-23-1.36%-3.09%-16.57%-5.86%+4.53%
FY20212022-02-242022-02-24+2.20%-3.81%+0.98%-7.08%-25.36%
FY20202021-02-192021-02-19-0.04%-2.89%+3.22%+5.08%-13.50%
FY20162017-02-222017-02-22-0.35%-0.40%+1.58%-4.88%+4.18%
FY20152016-02-192016-02-19+0.93%+1.48%+6.06%+6.56%+12.52%
FY20142015-02-202015-02-20-0.93%+0.36%-0.50%+13.96%-2.52%
FY20132014-02-242014-02-24-1.41%+1.47%+1.37%-3.13%+21.77%
FY20122013-02-222013-02-22-1.43%+1.71%+5.33%+19.58%+20.21%
FY20112012-02-242012-02-24+0.39%-3.30%+0.84%-4.79%-18.56%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d21,256+0.05%+49.53%long-0.16%22-0.04
5d21,258+0.10%+50.10%long-0.10%22-0.00
20d21,218-0.80%+49.80%long-1.03%22-0.04
60d19,852+1.64%+54.15%long+1.48%22+0.04
252d19,501+13.65%+64.44%long+13.47%22+0.27

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1365135/financials