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positive_eps_streak on EXXON MOBIL CORP (XOM)
SIC 2911 — Petroleum Refining · CIK 34088 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on XOM
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-18 | 2026-02-18 | +0.19% | -1.08% | +4.59% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-19 | 2025-02-19 | +1.54% | -0.76% | +4.63% | -0.65% | +38.11% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-28 | 2024-02-28 | +0.19% | +2.35% | +10.21% | +9.69% | +6.78% |
| FY2019 | 2020-02-26 | 2020-02-26 | -6.02% | -1.11% | -29.65% | -14.31% | +13.88% |
| FY2018 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-02-27 | -0.55% | -0.24% | +1.09% | -6.08% | -34.10% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-28 | 2018-02-28 | -0.71% | -1.95% | -3.87% | +7.06% | +10.10% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-22 | 2017-02-22 | +1.05% | +2.58% | +1.03% | +1.97% | -2.59% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-24 | 2016-02-24 | +0.60% | +1.45% | +2.74% | +11.47% | +3.87% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-25 | 2015-02-25 | -1.06% | -2.70% | -5.29% | -1.86% | -5.19% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-26 | 2014-02-26 | +0.05% | -2.08% | -1.14% | +6.68% | -4.79% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-27 | 2013-02-27 | +0.02% | +0.03% | +1.17% | +3.23% | +10.05% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-24 | 2012-02-24 | -0.13% | -1.16% | -2.05% | -5.42% | +5.20% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-28 | 2011-02-28 | -0.85% | -0.95% | -2.41% | -4.42% | +4.32% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.