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profit_to_loss on Zedge, Inc. (ZDGE)

SIC 7372 — Services-Prepackaged Software · CIK 1667313 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when a previously-profitable company swings to net loss in the current fiscal year. Often early warning of structural problems.

Every time the signal fired on ZDGE

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20232023-10-302023-10-30+3.78%+0.00%-0.54%+52.97%+61.62%
FY20172017-10-302017-10-30+8.96%+4.48%-2.24%+14.18%-30.97%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d3,667-0.22%+42.21%short-0.13%35-0.02
5d3,667+0.28%+43.50%short-0.21%36-0.01
20d3,616+0.23%+44.16%short+0.79%40+0.04
60d3,386+4.37%+49.00%short-3.72%51-0.06
252d3,297+20.41%+51.05%short-17.43%102-0.13

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See profit_to_loss methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1667313/financials