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zombie_alert on ASHFORD HOSPITALITY TRUST INC (AHT)
SIC 6798 — Real Estate Investment Trusts · CIK 1232582 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.
Every time the signal fired on AHT
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-03-23 | 2026-03-23 | -3.31% | -4.30% | +5.96% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-03-21 | 2025-03-21 | +2.05% | -0.55% | -18.90% | -18.90% | -60.00% |
| FY2023 | 2024-03-14 | 2024-03-14 | +1.47% | -3.68% | +5.15% | -18.38% | -46.18% |
| FY2022 | 2023-03-10 | 2023-03-10 | -7.94% | -18.78% | -28.31% | +28.31% | -62.70% |
| FY2021 | 2022-02-28 | 2022-02-28 | -7.55% | -15.45% | +7.43% | -44.25% | -43.90% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-12 | 2020-03-12 | -10.71% | +11.61% | -33.04% | +54.46% | -72.50% |
| FY2018 | 2019-03-01 | 2019-03-01 | +0.42% | -3.53% | +1.20% | +3.97% | -49.33% |
| FY2017 | 2018-03-14 | 2018-03-14 | -1.05% | +0.60% | +2.56% | +11.31% | -22.99% |
| FY2016 | 2017-03-16 | 2017-03-16 | +0.32% | -6.57% | +4.71% | +8.15% | +15.66% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +3.98% | +9.04% | +8.96% | -8.03% | +28.83% |
| FY2014 | 2015-03-02 | 2015-03-02 | +0.48% | -4.53% | -6.07% | -14.37% | -40.91% |
| FY2013 | 2014-03-03 | 2014-03-03 | +2.58% | -0.83% | +4.82% | -0.76% | +6.14% |
| FY2012 | 2013-03-01 | 2013-03-01 | +0.09% | +1.36% | +4.88% | +15.88% | +44.16% |
| FY2011 | 2012-02-28 | 2012-02-28 | -1.86% | -3.02% | +8.02% | -3.16% | +43.59% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1,085 | +13881.81% | +45.90% | long | -0.60% | 28 | -0.10 |
| 5d | 1,079 | +13913.06% | +46.71% | long | -0.46% | 28 | -0.04 |
| 20d | 1,068 | -0.28% | +46.54% | long | -0.67% | 28 | -0.03 |
| 60d | 991 | +3.27% | +49.65% | long | +2.98% | 28 | +0.07 |
| 252d | 970 | +17.15% | +53.51% | long | +17.86% | 28 | +0.22 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See zombie_alert methodology for the full audit.