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zombie_alert on Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. (CCO)

SIC 7310 — Services-Advertising · CIK 1334978 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.

Every time the signal fired on CCO

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20192020-02-272020-02-27-3.27%-18.69%-67.29%-51.87%-19.63%
FY20182019-03-052019-03-05-8.23%+0.73%+0.00%-5.30%-62.52%
FY20172018-05-032018-05-03+0.00%-2.11%-9.47%-9.47%+4.00%
FY20152016-02-252016-02-25+1.43%+16.57%+27.14%+74.86%+56.04%
FY20142015-02-192015-02-19-4.05%-2.57%-2.37%+11.65%-47.48%
FY20132014-02-202014-02-20-1.32%+1.21%-4.86%-18.32%+5.18%
FY20122013-02-192013-02-19-0.66%-2.76%+1.84%+6.18%+38.41%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d1,085+13881.81%+45.90%long-0.60%28-0.10
5d1,079+13913.06%+46.71%long-0.46%28-0.04
20d1,068-0.28%+46.54%long-0.67%28-0.03
60d991+3.27%+49.65%long+2.98%28+0.07
252d970+17.15%+53.51%long+17.86%28+0.22

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See zombie_alert methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1334978/financials