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zombie_alert on LSB INDUSTRIES, INC. (LXU)

SIC 2810 — Industrial Inorganic Chemicals · CIK 60714 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.

Every time the signal fired on LXU

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20242025-02-272025-02-27-0.68%-3.93%-5.15%-0.81%+61.79%
FY20202021-02-252021-02-25-4.71%-17.13%-8.99%+34.90%+313.94%
FY20192020-02-252020-02-25-5.18%-1.55%-1.04%-43.52%+132.12%
FY20182019-02-262019-02-26-4.58%-7.94%-9.15%-42.40%-75.37%
FY20172018-02-262018-02-26+11.34%+6.86%-11.34%-22.13%-0.70%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d1,085+13881.81%+45.90%long-0.60%28-0.10
5d1,079+13913.06%+46.71%long-0.46%28-0.04
20d1,068-0.28%+46.54%long-0.67%28-0.03
60d991+3.27%+49.65%long+2.98%28+0.07
252d970+17.15%+53.51%long+17.86%28+0.22

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See zombie_alert methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/60714/financials