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zombie_alert on MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORP (MATW)

SIC 3360 — Nonferrous Foundries (Castings) · CIK 63296 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.

Every time the signal fired on MATW

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20242024-11-222024-11-22+2.27%-2.01%-10.51%-19.50%-15.83%
FY20222022-11-182022-11-18+1.50%+5.97%+1.91%+32.25%+19.47%
FY20202020-11-202020-11-20+5.47%-2.50%-0.68%+24.45%+36.13%
FY20192019-11-222019-11-22+6.02%+2.58%+1.30%-7.02%-19.09%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d1,085+13881.81%+45.90%long-0.60%28-0.10
5d1,079+13913.06%+46.71%long-0.46%28-0.04
20d1,068-0.28%+46.54%long-0.67%28-0.03
60d991+3.27%+49.65%long+2.98%28+0.07
252d970+17.15%+53.51%long+17.86%28+0.22

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See zombie_alert methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/63296/financials