← zombie_alert (all companies) · OPCH (all signals) · all methodology
zombie_alert on Option Care Health, Inc. (OPCH)
SIC 8082 — Services-Home Health Care Services · CIK 1014739 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.
Every time the signal fired on OPCH
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2018 | 2019-03-15 | 2019-03-15 | -15.83% | -31.65% | -37.77% | -21.58% | -18.17% |
| FY2012 | 2013-12-16 | 2013-12-16 | +8.87% | +14.07% | +17.13% | +11.31% | -9.63% |
| FY2011 | 2012-03-14 | 2012-03-14 | +0.00% | -1.49% | +3.73% | +4.92% | +87.33% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1,085 | +13881.81% | +45.90% | long | -0.60% | 28 | -0.10 |
| 5d | 1,079 | +13913.06% | +46.71% | long | -0.46% | 28 | -0.04 |
| 20d | 1,068 | -0.28% | +46.54% | long | -0.67% | 28 | -0.03 |
| 60d | 991 | +3.27% | +49.65% | long | +2.98% | 28 | +0.07 |
| 252d | 970 | +17.15% | +53.51% | long | +17.86% | 28 | +0.22 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See zombie_alert methodology for the full audit.