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zombie_alert on TRANSCONTINENTAL REALTY INVESTORS INC (TCI)

SIC 6798 — Real Estate Investment Trusts · CIK 733590 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.

Every time the signal fired on TCI

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20252026-03-122026-03-12+9.80%-3.19%+14.02%
FY20242025-03-202025-03-20+0.36%+1.22%+1.18%+41.18%+26.49%
FY20232024-03-212024-03-21-3.16%-4.95%-19.57%-29.31%-26.79%
FY20222023-03-232023-03-23+0.09%-1.42%-12.77%-10.02%-11.89%
FY20202021-03-262021-03-26-1.42%+0.59%-3.80%+40.27%+72.77%
FY20192020-03-302020-03-30+5.13%-0.51%-1.08%+79.40%+10.20%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d1,085+13881.81%+45.90%long-0.60%28-0.10
5d1,079+13913.06%+46.71%long-0.46%28-0.04
20d1,068-0.28%+46.54%long-0.67%28-0.03
60d991+3.27%+49.65%long+2.98%28+0.07
252d970+17.15%+53.51%long+17.86%28+0.22

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See zombie_alert methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/733590/financials