← zombie_alert (all companies) · TXNM (all signals) · all methodology
zombie_alert on TXNM ENERGY INC (TXNM)
SIC 4911 — Electric Services · CIK 1108426 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with persistent negative free cash flow but still operating — 'walking dead' candidates. Useful as oversold-bounce flag.
Every time the signal fired on TXNM
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | +0.79% | +3.37% | +3.10% | +3.06% | +45.79% |
| FY2019 | 2020-03-02 | 2020-03-02 | -0.93% | -4.60% | -20.43% | -20.22% | -1.03% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-29 | 2016-02-29 | +0.44% | +3.41% | +6.08% | +1.69% | +16.87% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1,085 | +13881.81% | +45.90% | long | -0.60% | 28 | -0.10 |
| 5d | 1,079 | +13913.06% | +46.71% | long | -0.46% | 28 | -0.04 |
| 20d | 1,068 | -0.28% | +46.54% | long | -0.67% | 28 | -0.03 |
| 60d | 991 | +3.27% | +49.65% | long | +2.98% | 28 | +0.07 |
| 252d | 970 | +17.15% | +53.51% | long | +17.86% | 28 | +0.22 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See zombie_alert methodology for the full audit.