← accruals_quality_low (all companies) · SMCI (all signals) · all methodology
accruals_quality_low on Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)
SIC 3571 — Electronic Computers · CIK 1375365 · default direction: short
Definition
Fires when total accruals exceed 10% of total assets while net income is positive. Captures 'earnings of low cash quality' (Sloan accruals).
Every time the signal fired on SMCI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | +12.23% | -14.05% | -10.76% | -8.54% | -29.12% |
| FY2022 | 2022-08-29 | 2022-08-29 | -6.73% | -11.09% | -22.75% | +26.65% | +286.83% |
| FY2017 | 2019-05-17 | 2019-05-17 | +0.50% | +0.30% | -9.32% | -14.36% | +22.97% |
| FY2015 | 2015-11-16 | 2015-11-16 | -1.62% | -4.57% | -7.60% | +20.82% | +3.88% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 858 | -0.20% | +45.45% | short | -0.29% | 33 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 857 | +1.15% | +46.67% | short | -0.47% | 34 | -0.04 |
| 20d | 848 | +0.26% | +46.93% | short | +0.13% | 38 | +0.01 |
| 60d | 798 | +9.36% | +45.49% | short | -9.54% | 49 | -0.05 |
| 252d | 774 | +22.52% | +48.71% | short | -22.54% | 99 | -0.11 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See accruals_quality_low methodology for the full audit.