← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · AGX (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on ARGAN INC (AGX)
SIC 1700 — Construction - Special Trade Contractors · CIK 100591 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on AGX
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2023 | 2024-04-11 | 2024-04-11 | +21.11% | +23.59% | +37.64% | +43.32% | +203.27% |
| FY2019 | 2020-04-14 | 2020-04-14 | -6.80% | +1.37% | -5.59% | +18.20% | +56.76% |
| FY2018 | 2019-04-10 | 2019-04-10 | -1.17% | -0.67% | -4.39% | -19.48% | -23.33% |
| FY2013 | 2014-04-15 | 2014-04-15 | +0.59% | +1.00% | +5.83% | +36.46% | +24.03% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.