← beneish_m_score_high (all companies) · CLF (all signals) · all methodology
beneish_m_score_high on CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. (CLF)
SIC 1000 — Metal Mining · CIK 764065 · default direction: short
Definition
Beneish 5-factor M-Score above the manipulator threshold (-1.78). Composite of DSO, gross margin, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation.
Every time the signal fired on CLF
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2018 | 2019-02-08 | 2019-02-08 | -1.52% | -4.56% | -16.40% | -13.96% | -34.70% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-09 | 2017-02-09 | -1.93% | +1.85% | -23.13% | -44.94% | -41.78% |
| FY2013 | 2014-02-14 | 2014-02-14 | -1.21% | -7.25% | -18.29% | -23.24% | -69.08% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-17 | 2011-02-17 | -2.99% | -4.31% | -11.63% | -13.51% | -32.08% |
| FY2009 | 2010-02-18 | 2010-02-18 | +5.30% | +9.10% | +26.84% | +6.31% | +84.03% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,937 | +0.04% | +45.86% | short | -0.28% | 32 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,937 | +0.10% | +45.83% | short | +0.06% | 33 | +0.01 |
| 20d | 2,915 | +2.64% | +44.43% | short | -2.76% | 37 | -0.02 |
| 60d | 2,798 | +11.23% | +46.71% | short | -11.63% | 47 | -0.03 |
| 252d | 2,745 | +47.23% | +50.93% | short | -48.06% | 96 | -0.04 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See beneish_m_score_high methodology for the full audit.