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fcf_turn_negative on T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS)

SIC 4812 — Radiotelephone Communications · CIK 1283699 · default direction: short

Definition

Fires when previously-positive operating cash flow turns negative — the cash equivalent of profit_to_loss, usually more leading.

Every time the signal fired on TMUS

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20202021-02-232021-02-23+0.13%+2.71%+4.34%+12.69%+3.60%
FY20162017-02-142017-02-14-0.49%+2.40%+2.26%+6.83%-4.84%
FY20132014-02-252014-02-25-0.46%+4.33%+7.32%+10.31%+5.64%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,337-0.05%+42.62%short-0.14%35-0.02
5d2,337+0.06%+41.98%short+0.31%36+0.02
20d2,312-0.77%+42.08%short+1.36%40+0.08
60d2,192+1.98%+47.45%short-1.61%51-0.05
252d2,148+15.62%+50.33%short-16.85%103-0.17

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_negative methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1283699/financials