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fcf_turn_positive on CPI AEROSTRUCTURES INC (CVU)

SIC 3728 — Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC · CIK 889348 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.

Every time the signal fired on CVU

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20212022-08-192022-08-19+42.86%+42.86%-9.52%+136.19%+251.43%
FY20172018-03-222018-03-22+8.67%+12.72%+20.23%+27.75%-23.70%
FY20152016-03-282016-03-28+3.17%+15.44%-2.60%-10.25%-7.65%
FY20132014-03-112014-03-11-1.72%-8.52%-5.87%-9.38%-13.61%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,430+0.08%+47.28%long-0.29%33-0.04
5d2,430+2.37%+47.20%long+1.72%33+0.02
20d2,411+2.47%+46.95%long+1.81%32+0.02
60d2,273+4.84%+48.26%long+4.48%33+0.06
252d2,226+19.57%+53.05%long+19.70%33+0.16

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_positive methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/889348/financials