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fcf_turn_positive on HALOZYME THERAPEUTICS, INC. (HALO)

SIC 2836 — Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · CIK 1159036 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.

Every time the signal fired on HALO

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20202021-02-232021-02-23+8.98%-4.66%-8.73%-10.89%-30.54%
FY20172018-02-202018-02-20+4.11%+7.68%+14.72%+0.76%-10.12%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,430+0.08%+47.28%long-0.29%33-0.04
5d2,430+2.37%+47.20%long+1.72%33+0.02
20d2,411+2.47%+46.95%long+1.81%32+0.02
60d2,273+4.84%+48.26%long+4.48%33+0.06
252d2,226+19.57%+53.05%long+19.70%33+0.16

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_positive methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1159036/financials