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fcf_turn_positive on Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI)
SIC 1400 — Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) · CIK 1421461 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.
Every time the signal fired on IPI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-03-04 | 2025-03-04 | +6.96% | +7.29% | +22.38% | +53.92% | +65.23% |
| FY2020 | 2021-03-02 | 2021-03-02 | -0.61% | +0.42% | +1.09% | -13.86% | +73.38% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-27 | 2018-02-27 | -2.36% | +19.17% | +8.85% | +41.89% | +12.09% |
| FY2010 | 2011-02-24 | 2011-02-24 | +3.62% | +3.94% | -8.28% | -20.48% | -30.11% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,430 | +0.08% | +47.28% | long | -0.29% | 33 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,430 | +2.37% | +47.20% | long | +1.72% | 33 | +0.02 |
| 20d | 2,411 | +2.47% | +46.95% | long | +1.81% | 32 | +0.02 |
| 60d | 2,273 | +4.84% | +48.26% | long | +4.48% | 33 | +0.06 |
| 252d | 2,226 | +19.57% | +53.05% | long | +19.70% | 33 | +0.16 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_positive methodology for the full audit.