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fcf_turn_positive on MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC (MPAA)

SIC 3714 — Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories · CIK 918251 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.

Every time the signal fired on MPAA

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20242025-06-092025-06-09+6.89%+9.05%+21.91%+52.98%
FY20202021-06-142021-06-14-0.04%-6.79%-1.99%-23.76%-35.26%
FY20162017-06-142017-06-14-4.91%-2.14%-1.46%-6.48%-28.75%
FY20142015-06-152015-06-15+5.86%+7.84%+5.00%+9.14%+4.55%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,430+0.08%+47.28%long-0.29%33-0.04
5d2,430+2.37%+47.20%long+1.72%33+0.02
20d2,411+2.47%+46.95%long+1.81%32+0.02
60d2,273+4.84%+48.26%long+4.48%33+0.06
252d2,226+19.57%+53.05%long+19.70%33+0.16

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_positive methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/918251/financials