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fcf_turn_positive on NPK International Inc. (NPKI)
SIC 7350 — Services-Miscellaneous Equipment Rental & Leasing · CIK 71829 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.
Every time the signal fired on NPKI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | -2.49% | -6.03% | +1.25% | — | — |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-23 | 2024-02-23 | +2.40% | +6.89% | +17.95% | +25.64% | +1.76% |
| FY2017 | 2018-02-23 | 2018-02-23 | +0.00% | -1.16% | -3.47% | +26.01% | +4.74% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-26 | 2016-02-26 | +2.47% | +17.03% | +13.46% | +20.33% | +117.03% |
| FY2012 | 2013-02-28 | 2013-02-28 | +1.25% | +2.95% | +5.33% | +28.72% | +26.22% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,430 | +0.08% | +47.28% | long | -0.29% | 33 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,430 | +2.37% | +47.20% | long | +1.72% | 33 | +0.02 |
| 20d | 2,411 | +2.47% | +46.95% | long | +1.81% | 32 | +0.02 |
| 60d | 2,273 | +4.84% | +48.26% | long | +4.48% | 33 | +0.06 |
| 252d | 2,226 | +19.57% | +53.05% | long | +19.70% | 33 | +0.16 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_positive methodology for the full audit.