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fcf_turn_positive on NWPX Infrastructure, Inc. (NWPX)

SIC 3317 — Steel Pipe & Tubes · CIK 1001385 · default direction: long

Definition

Fires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.

Every time the signal fired on NWPX

FYFiling dateEvent date1d5d20d60d252d
FY20232024-03-052024-03-05+9.28%+14.07%+17.55%+19.17%+37.83%
FY20192020-03-032020-03-03+2.06%-19.91%-29.59%-21.17%+9.30%
FY20142015-03-162015-03-16+0.49%+3.94%+0.97%-8.98%-61.39%
FY20122013-03-182013-03-18+1.12%+5.64%-7.44%+0.04%+26.71%

Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.

Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)

Horizonn eventsGross stock retHit rateTrade dirNet PnLCost (bps)r/σ net
1d2,430+0.08%+47.28%long-0.29%33-0.04
5d2,430+2.37%+47.20%long+1.72%33+0.02
20d2,411+2.47%+46.95%long+1.81%32+0.02
60d2,273+4.84%+48.26%long+4.48%33+0.06
252d2,226+19.57%+53.05%long+19.70%33+0.16

Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_positive methodology for the full audit.


Data: /api/company/1001385/financials