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fcf_turn_positive on VIRCO MFG CORPORATION (VIRC)
SIC 2531 — Public Bldg & Related Furniture · CIK 751365 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on the fiscal year a company first generates positive operating cash flow after a stretch of negative or zero. Inflection from cash-burning to self-funding.
Every time the signal fired on VIRC
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | 2025-04-14 | 2025-04-14 | +0.90% | -4.29% | -9.47% | -20.79% | -38.11% |
| FY2020 | 2021-04-28 | 2021-04-28 | +2.19% | -1.88% | -4.38% | +2.81% | -17.50% |
| FY2016 | 2017-04-25 | 2017-04-25 | -1.08% | -3.23% | -1.08% | +21.51% | -9.08% |
| FY2013 | 2014-04-28 | 2014-04-28 | -3.57% | -0.89% | -8.48% | +2.68% | +20.09% |
| FY2011 | 2012-04-25 | 2012-04-25 | -4.74% | -11.58% | -5.26% | -15.26% | +6.32% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2,430 | +0.08% | +47.28% | long | -0.29% | 33 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 2,430 | +2.37% | +47.20% | long | +1.72% | 33 | +0.02 |
| 20d | 2,411 | +2.47% | +46.95% | long | +1.81% | 32 | +0.02 |
| 60d | 2,273 | +4.84% | +48.26% | long | +4.48% | 33 | +0.06 |
| 252d | 2,226 | +19.57% | +53.05% | long | +19.70% | 33 | +0.16 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See fcf_turn_positive methodology for the full audit.