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positive_eps_streak on PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP (PAGP)
SIC 4610 — Pipe Lines (No Natural Gas) · CIK 1581990 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on PAGP
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2026-02-27 | 2026-02-27 | +1.91% | +5.59% | +8.52% | — | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-28 | 2025-02-28 | -1.39% | -4.17% | -0.42% | -14.51% | +15.98% |
| FY2023 | 2024-02-29 | 2024-02-29 | +0.64% | +1.69% | +6.10% | +6.73% | +28.30% |
| FY2016 | 2017-02-23 | 2017-02-23 | +0.25% | +3.50% | -1.76% | -9.44% | -27.49% |
| FY2015 | 2016-02-25 | 2016-02-25 | +1.23% | +8.90% | +11.37% | +42.46% | +76.69% |
| FY2014 | 2015-02-25 | 2015-02-25 | +0.00% | +0.57% | -0.18% | +2.26% | -72.47% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.