← positive_eps_streak (all companies) · SMCI (all signals) · all methodology
positive_eps_streak on Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)
SIC 3571 — Electronic Computers · CIK 1375365 · default direction: long
Definition
Fires on companies with consecutive years of positive earnings — quality compounder candidates. Surfaces stable franchises with earnings durability, not speculative growth.
Every time the signal fired on SMCI
| FY | Filing date | Event date | 1d | 5d | 20d | 60d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2025-08-28 | 2025-08-28 | -5.53% | -8.10% | +4.21% | -26.79% | — |
| FY2024 | 2025-02-25 | 2025-02-25 | +12.23% | -14.05% | -10.76% | -8.54% | -29.12% |
| FY2023 | 2023-08-28 | 2023-08-28 | +2.54% | +9.84% | -2.33% | +13.60% | +73.81% |
| FY2022 | 2022-08-29 | 2022-08-29 | -6.73% | -11.09% | -22.75% | +26.65% | +286.83% |
| FY2021 | 2021-08-27 | 2021-08-27 | -0.64% | +6.35% | +6.02% | +18.02% | +93.84% |
| FY2020 | 2020-08-31 | 2020-08-31 | -1.17% | -7.59% | -2.15% | +6.21% | +33.41% |
| FY2019 | 2019-12-19 | 2019-12-19 | +8.83% | +6.40% | +26.23% | -29.45% | +34.61% |
| FY2017 | 2019-05-17 | 2019-05-17 | +0.50% | +0.30% | -9.32% | -14.36% | +22.97% |
| FY2016 | 2016-08-26 | 2016-08-26 | +1.64% | +3.65% | +9.55% | +23.77% | +27.98% |
| FY2015 | 2015-11-16 | 2015-11-16 | -1.62% | -4.57% | -7.60% | +20.82% | +3.88% |
| FY2014 | 2014-09-15 | 2014-09-15 | +2.13% | +7.65% | -12.03% | +21.90% | +6.63% |
| FY2013 | 2013-09-11 | 2013-09-11 | +0.83% | +3.49% | +3.64% | +25.63% | +97.35% |
Forward returns are stock returns from event date (next trading day after filing). Sign is raw stock direction; the trade direction is in the calibration table below.
Universe-wide calibration (this signal across all companies)
| Horizon | n events | Gross stock ret | Hit rate | Trade dir | Net PnL | Cost (bps) | r/σ net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 21,256 | +0.05% | +49.53% | long | -0.16% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 5d | 21,258 | +0.10% | +50.10% | long | -0.10% | 22 | -0.00 |
| 20d | 21,218 | -0.80% | +49.80% | long | -1.03% | 22 | -0.04 |
| 60d | 19,852 | +1.64% | +54.15% | long | +1.48% | 22 | +0.04 |
| 252d | 19,501 | +13.65% | +64.44% | long | +13.47% | 22 | +0.27 |
Net PnL is direction × stock return − round-trip execution cost (5 bps half-spread + ADV-tiered borrow). See positive_eps_streak methodology for the full audit.